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Liquor Bets

A prediction market for the spirits and bar industry. Built by Jason Littrell. 100% Free. Points only.

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This product uses AI-assisted research to collect, classify, summarize, and score public industry signals. Source links, timestamps, and methodology are provided wherever possible. AI does not create facts, and every published item is grounded in cited source material.

© 2026 Jason Littrellv1
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Every active prediction market in one place. Search, filter by category or tag, and sort by what closes next, what the room is paying attention to, or what just landed.

Looking for the editorial overview? See Spirits Industry Predictions 2026 for context on each open forecast.

AllM&AAwardsHospitalityLegislationIssues30dClosed (23)
SortCloses soonMost predictedNewestSuggest a market
ClustersBourbon GlutTequila CrisisGLP-1 EffectTHC vs AlcoholCelebrity SpiritsTariffs & TradeTipping WarsAI in Hospitality
Tagsm_and_adiageobrown-formanspiritsshort_termuncle-nearestbig_copernodnon_alcvaluationm-and-asazeracbourbonportfolio
M&Acloses in 14d

Will Brown-Forman or Sazerac publicly confirm formal deal talks before July 1, 2026?

m-and-abrown-formansazeracbourbon
NO 80%
Crowd
20% YES
Predictors
1
consolidation
leadership
ceo-search
brown_forman
earnings
white_claw
M&A
closes in 14d

Will any major spirits group announce a $1B+ acquisition before July 1, 2026?

m_and_aspiritsbig_coshort_term
NO 65%
Crowd
35% YES
Predictors
1
M&Acloses in 38d

Will Diageo announce a brand divestiture before its Q4 FY26 earnings call?

diageom_and_aportfolio
YES 75%
Crowd
75% YES
Predictors
1
M&Acloses in 40d

Will Diageo or Brown-Forman publicly engage in new major M&A talks within 90 days of the Pernod/BF breakup?

m_and_abrown-formandiageopernod
YES 60%
Crowd
60% YES
Predictors
1
M&Acloses in 59d

Will Diageo name a permanent CEO before its Q4 FY26 earnings call?

diageoleadershipceo-search
YES 65%
Crowd
65% YES
Predictors
1
M&Acloses in 76d

Will Brown-Forman or Pernod Ricard publicly engage in new merger or major-acquisition talks before September 1, 2026?

m_and_aspiritsbrown_formanpernod
YES 55%
Crowd
55% YES
Predictors
1
M&Acloses in 76d

Will Diageo issue a downward revision to its FY2026 organic operating profit guidance before September 1, 2026?

earningsspiritsdiageobig_co
YES 55%
Crowd
55% YES
Predictors
1
M&Acloses in 109d

Will Constellation Brands announce another wine brand divestiture before September 30, 2026?

YES 70%
Crowd
70% YES
Predictors
1
M&Acloses in 109d

Will the EU adjust its tariff on American whiskey before October 1, 2026?

NO 65%
Crowd
35% YES
Predictors
1
M&Acloses in 140d

Will a US top-20 tequila brand be acquired by a different parent company before October 31, 2026?

NO 65%
Crowd
35% YES
Predictors
1
M&Acloses in 197d

Will White Claw's parent Mark Anthony Brands acquire any spirits brand in 2026?

white_clawmark_anthonym_and_artd
NO 55%
Crowd
45% YES
Predictors
1
M&Acloses in 197d

If Uncle Nearest is sold in 2026, will the buyer be a major strategic spirits company?

uncle-nearestm_and_astrategic-buyer
NO 65%
Crowd
35% YES
Predictors
1
M&Acloses in 197d

Will Uncle Nearest be sold to a new owner before December 31, 2026?

uncle-nearestm_and_areceivershipwhiskey
NO 55%
Crowd
45% YES
Predictors
1
M&Acloses in 197d

Will a non-alcoholic spirits brand achieve a unicorn valuation by year-end 2026?

non_alcseedlipvaluationunicorn
NO 80%
Crowd
20% YES
Predictors
1
M&Acloses in 197d

Will Brown-Forman complete its US control-state distributor realignment across all 18 markets by year-end 2026?

brown-formandistributioncontrol-statesoperations
NO 55%
Crowd
45% YES
Predictors
1
M&Acloses in 197d

Will Kendall Jenner's 818 Tequila change ownership or majority investor in 2026?

818kendall_jennerm_and_acelebrity_brand
NO 80%
Crowd
20% YES
Predictors
1
M&Acloses in 197d

Will Athletic Brewing be acquired or go public in 2026?

non_alcathleticm_and_aipo
NO 70%
Crowd
30% YES
Predictors
1
M&Acloses in 201d

Will Diageo publicly announce a sale, JV, or full divestiture of its China assets in calendar 2026?

NO 75%
Crowd
25% YES
Predictors
1
M&Acloses in 201d

Will Suntory Holdings acquire a non-Japanese spirits brand before December 31, 2026?

NO 60%
Crowd
40% YES
Predictors
1
M&Acloses in 201d

Will Sazerac and Brown-Forman publicly announce a definitive merger or acquisition agreement by December 31, 2026?

NO 82%
Crowd
18% YES
Predictors
1
M&Acloses in 201d

Will a US craft distillery raise a Series A or later venture round of $10M or more before December 31, 2026?

NO 60%
Crowd
40% YES
Predictors
1
M&Acloses in 201d

Will a top-3 global spirits major (Diageo, Pernod, Brown-Forman) acquire a no/low alcohol brand before December 31, 2026?

YES 55%
Crowd
55% YES
Predictors
1
M&Acloses in 201d

Will Pernod Ricard divest at least one of its top-10 brands by global revenue before December 31, 2026?

NO 55%
Crowd
45% YES
Predictors
1
M&Acloses in 201d

Will the average price of #1 agave azul (Jalisco region) drop below 8 pesos/kilo before December 31, 2026?

YES 55%
Crowd
55% YES
Predictors
1
M&Acloses in 211d

Will US off-premise RTD dollar sales exceed bottled spirits in any monthly NielsenIQ report before year-end?

NO 90%
Crowd
10% YES
Predictors
1
M&Acloses in 378d

If Uncle Nearest is sold by mid-2027, will the announced sale price exceed $300M?

uncle-nearestm_and_avaluation
NO 70%
Crowd
30% YES
Predictors
1