Will Diageo issue a downward revision to its FY2026 organic operating profit guidance before September 1, 2026?
On February 25, 2026, Diageo guided FY2026 organic operating profit growth to flat to up low-single-digit, citing US softness, Chinese white spirits weakness, and tariff impact. Conditions in all three areas have continued to deteriorate. Diageo's fiscal year ends June 30, with full-year results typically reported in late July. This market resolves on whether Diageo formally revises that guidance downward at any point before September 1, 2026, including via interim trading update, preliminary results, or earnings call. For more on how spirits earnings markets resolve, see /faq/how-do-spirits-m-and-a-predictions-work.
Resolves YES if Diageo plc publicly issues, via press release, regulatory filing (LSE/SEC), interim trading statement, or earnings call, a revised FY2026 organic operating profit guidance range whose lower or upper bound is below the February 25, 2026 guidance of flat to up low-single-digit organic operating profit growth, before 23:59 ET on August 31, 2026. Resolution sourced from Diageo investor relations.
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