Liquor Bets
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Liquor Bets

A prediction market for the spirits and bar industry. Built by Jason Littrell. 100% Free. Points only.

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This product uses AI-assisted research to collect, classify, summarize, and score public industry signals. Source links, timestamps, and methodology are provided wherever possible. AI does not create facts, and every published item is grounded in cited source material.

© 2026 Jason Littrellv1
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Every active prediction market in one place. Search, filter by category or tag, and sort by what closes next, what the room is paying attention to, or what just landed.

Looking for the editorial overview? See Spirits Industry Predictions 2026 for context on each open forecast.

AllM&AAwardsHospitalityLegislationIssues30dClosed (13)
SortCloses soonMost predictedNewestSuggest a market
ClustersBourbon GlutTequila CrisisGLP-1 EffectTHC vs AlcoholCelebrity SpiritsTariffs & TradeTipping Wars2026 Spirited AwardsDistributor ConsolidationAI in HospitalitySpeed Rack
Tagslegislationstate-policytariffstradethcregulationrtdcanned-cocktailswarning-labelspublic-healthmexicoretaliationfda
Legislationcloses in 13m 3s

Will any US state enact a canned-cocktail tax, ABV, or licensing bill before August 1, 2026?

legislationrtdcanned-cocktailsstate-policy
YES 55%
Crowd
55% YES
Predictors
1
enforcement
eu
american_whiskey
state
tipping
wage
labor
Legislation
closes in 31d

Will any US state enact a new alcohol cancer warning sign or label requirement before September 1, 2026?

legislationwarning-labelspublic-healthstate-policy
NO 80%
Crowd
20% YES
Predictors
1
Legislationcloses in 64d

Will the FDA issue formal guidance on hemp-derived THC in beverages before September 30, 2026?

NO 75%
Crowd
25% YES
Predictors
1
Legislationcloses in 152d

Will Mexico retaliate with tariffs on US spirits before December 31, 2026?

tariffsmexicotraderetaliation
NO 65%
Crowd
35% YES
Predictors
1
Legislationcloses in 152d

Will the FDA issue any formal enforcement action against a hemp-derived THC beverage company in 2026?

thcfdaregulationenforcement
YES 55%
Crowd
55% YES
Predictors
1
Legislationcloses in 152d

Will the EU snap back its 50% retaliatory tariff on American whiskey in 2026?

tariffseuamerican_whiskeytrade
NO 70%
Crowd
30% YES
Predictors
1
Legislationcloses in 152d

Will any state pass legislation in 2026 explicitly banning THC beverages from being sold alongside alcohol?

thclegislationstateregulation
YES 65%
Crowd
65% YES
Predictors
1
Legislationcloses in 152d

Will any state pass a 2026 ballot measure or law eliminating the tipped minimum wage?

tippingwagelegislationlabor
NO 80%
Crowd
20% YES
Predictors
1
Legislationcloses in 156d

Will at least 5 US states pass new permanent cocktails-to-go legislation in 2026?

NO 65%
Crowd
35% YES
Predictors
1
Legislationcloses in 156d

Will any US state pass three-tier reform legislation expanding direct-to-consumer spirits shipping in 2026?

NO 90%
Crowd
10% YES
Predictors
1
Legislationcloses in 156d

Will the TTB finalize a rule allowing modernized labeling disclosures (alcohol content, allergens, or nutrition facts) before December 31, 2026?

NO 70%
Crowd
30% YES
Predictors
1