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Liquor Bets

A prediction market for the spirits and bar industry. Built by Jason Littrell. 100% Free. Points only.

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This product uses AI-assisted research to collect, classify, summarize, and score public industry signals. Source links, timestamps, and methodology are provided wherever possible. AI does not create facts, and every published item is grounded in cited source material.

© 2026 Jason Littrellv1
Resolved archive/June 2026
Resolved · June 2026

Resolved markets · June 2026

Every Liquor Bets prediction market that resolved in June 2026, with outcomes. 10 resolved. 36 voided.

46 total · 10 resolved · 36 voided
M&A
  • Will WSWA Access LIVE name a new top-10 distributor partnership by conference end?NO

    Market asks if a new partnership involving a top-10 US distributor is formally announced before Access LIVE wraps.

    Resolved 2026-06-30
  • Will Pernod Ricard publicly comment on any portfolio sale rumor in May 2026?NO
    Resolved 2026-06-06
  • Will Campari Group close or announce any acquisition in May 2026?NO
    Resolved 2026-06-06
  • Will the Reyes Beverage Group acquisition of RNDC assets close before June 1, 2026?YES
    Resolved 2026-06-03
  • Will Constellation Brands ($STZ) close higher on May 29, 2026 than it closed on May 1, 2026?Voided
    Resolved 2026-06-02
  • Will Brown-Forman ($BF.B) close higher on May 29, 2026 than on May 1, 2026?
Hospitality
  • Will any major spirits company launch a new product by Sunday?Voided

    Yes if a major spirits company posts an official launch announcement for a new product before Sunday.

    Resolved 2026-06-29
  • Will Asbury Park Summer Fest publish an official spirits brand list naming at least 15 distinct brands before gates open?YES

    Will the festival’s own site or ticketing page list 15+ distinct spirits brands as participants before doors open?

    Resolved 2026-06-26
  • Will BCB Brooklyn 2026 include at least three education sessions focused on no-low, wellness, THC, or functional beverages?Voided

    No-low and wellness are not side conversations anymore. This market asks whether they show up as real programming at BCB Brooklyn.

    Resolved 2026-06-13
  • Will Bar Convent Brooklyn list at least 250 exhibitors before doors open on June 9, 2026?Voided

    BCB Brooklyn already says 230+ exhibitors. The market is whether the room gets bigger before doors open.

    Resolved 2026-06-13
Issues
  • Will Diageo beat consensus on FY26 operating profit when it reports this week?Voided

    YES if Diageo posts operating profit above consensus in its FY26 update, NO otherwise.

    Resolved 2026-06-26
  • Will US off-premise bourbon dollar sales decline year-over-year in the latest Circana / NielsenIQ four-week period reported in May 2026?Voided
    Resolved 2026-06-12
  • Will the IWSR's next published US briefing revise its RTD growth forecast downward?Voided
    Resolved 2026-06-07
  • Will at least one new celebrity-fronted spirits brand publicly launch in May 2026?Voided
    Resolved 2026-06-07
  • Will Circana or NABCA report that Cinco de Mayo 2026 tequila volume sales were lower year-over-year?Voided
    Resolved 2026-06-07
  • Will WhistlePig announce a new limited-edition release in May 2026?
Awards
  • Who wins International Bar Industry Icon 2026?Voided

    The International Bar Industry Icon 2026 winner is determined by the Spirited Awards panel based on professional contribution. This market resolves according to the official announcement by Tales of the Cocktail in July 2026.

    Resolved 2026-06-25
  • Who wins Best New York Cocktail Bar at the 20th Spirited Awards?Voided

    Best New York Cocktail Bar at the 20th Spirited Awards identifies the winner among New York City nominees as announced by the Tales of the Cocktail Foundation in July 2026. This market tracks which establishment earns the top spot during the foundation annual ceremony.

    Resolved 2026-06-25
  • Which 2026 James Beard Outstanding Bar finalist will win?Voided

    The James Beard Foundation 2026 Outstanding Bar winner is the finalist designated as the recipient of the award at the Chicago ceremony. The James Beard Foundation will resolve this question through its official announcement of the top bar program in the United States.

    Resolved 2026-06-19
  • Will any New York City venue win a 2026 James Beard Restaurant and Chef Award on June 15?YES

    James Beard night always turns into a map argument. This one asks whether New York City takes home at least one Restaurant and Chef Award.

    Resolved 2026-06-18
Legislation
  • Will any US state legislature pass a three-tier reform bill in May 2026?Voided
    Resolved 2026-06-12
  • Will the NYS State Liquor Authority post any May 2026 board meeting agenda item explicitly addressing cannabis or hemp-derived beverages?Voided
    Resolved 2026-06-07
  • Will the US federal government announce any new spirits-specific tariff action in May 2026?YES
    Resolved 2026-06-04
  • Will any TTB COLA approval in May 2026 include a hemp-derived THC beverage label from a licensed distillery?Voided
    Resolved 2026-06-04
  • Will any NYS State Liquor Authority full board meeting in May 2026 publish an agenda item explicitly addressing on-premises licensing reform or processing-time reduction?Voided
    Resolved 2026-06-02
  • Will the TTB COLA database log at least one agave-spirit-based ready-to-drink with a hemp-derived THC formulation as approved between May 1 and May 31, 2026?
← May 2026
All archives
July 2026 →
NO
Resolved 2026-06-02
Will the TTB approve more tequila-based RTDs than vodka-based RTDs in May 2026?
Voided
Resolved 2026-06-12
  • Will Bar Convent Brooklyn publish an attendance or exhibitor projection for 2026 by May 31?Voided
    Resolved 2026-06-05
  • Will Punch publish a long-form feature on a non-coastal US bar or program in May 2026?Voided
    Resolved 2026-06-05
  • Will the Bar Convent Brooklyn 2026 program announcement include a confirmed keynote from a global spirits brand CEO or brand ambassador at director level or above?Voided
    Resolved 2026-06-04
  • Will Eater NY publish at least one bar or cocktail lounge opening feature in May 2026?Voided
    Resolved 2026-06-04
  • Will Bar Convent Brooklyn 2026 publicly confirm at least one keynote speaker by May 31, 2026?Voided
    Resolved 2026-06-02
  • Will Eater NY publish a Memorial Day weekend bar or rooftop guide between May 18 and May 25, 2026?Voided
    Resolved 2026-06-02
  • Voided
    Resolved 2026-06-05
  • Will all five major spirits groups post Pride-themed content from their primary US accounts before June 1, 2026?Voided
    Resolved 2026-06-04
  • Will the IWSR's next published US market briefing rank ready-to-drink as a top-3 growth category by volume?Voided
    Resolved 2026-06-04
  • Will the NABCA April 2026 monthly data report show year-over-year volume growth for agave spirits (tequila + mezcal combined)?Voided
    Resolved 2026-06-02
  • Will the NABCA April 2026 monthly data report show mezcal growing faster (year-over-year volume) than tequila in control states?Voided
    Resolved 2026-06-02
  • Will the May 2026 issue of Drinks International feature a non-US spirits brand as its primary cover story?Voided
    Resolved 2026-06-02
  • Will Philadelphia win more 2026 James Beard Restaurant and Chef Award categories than New York City?NO

    Philadelphia and New York City will compete for the highest number of 2026 James Beard Restaurant and Chef Award wins. The resolution depends on whether Philadelphia-area finalists secure more category victories than those based in the five boroughs of New York City.

    Resolved 2026-06-18
  • Will any NYC bar or beverage program win a James Beard award in any category in 2026?Voided

    New York City beverage programs are subject to the 2026 James Beard Foundation awards process to determine if a local venue wins in any category. This market resolves based on the official winners list released by the James Beard Foundation at its annual ceremony.

    Resolved 2026-06-18
  • Will the 2026 James Beard Outstanding Bar award go to a venue outside New York City?YES

    The James Beard Outstanding Bar award goes to a venue located outside of New York City for the 2026 cycle. This market resolves based on whether the James Beard Foundation selects a recipient whose primary location is outside the five boroughs.

    Resolved 2026-06-17
  • Which city's venue takes home the 2026 James Beard Outstanding Bar award?Voided

    The 2026 James Beard Outstanding Bar award identifies which city hosts the premier national beverage program. This market resolves to the city of the winning establishment as announced by the James Beard Foundation during their annual ceremony.

    Resolved 2026-06-17
  • Will a James Beard 2026 Outstanding Bar finalist publicly use AI in any operational workflow?Voided

    The James Beard Outstanding Bar Program category is among the most prestigious recognitions in American cocktail culture. A finalist that openly acknowledges AI in its operations would be making a statement about the compatibility of craft and technology that will be debated throughout the industry.

    Resolved 2026-06-17
  • Will the 2026 James Beard Awards ceremony include any non-alcoholic toast or zero-proof moment?Voided

    The James Beard Awards have historically been awash in wine and spirits. A zero-proof toast at the 2026 ceremony would be a powerful symbolic moment for the non-alcoholic beverage movement, coming from the most prestigious culinary awards institution in the United States.

    Resolved 2026-06-17
  • Will the 2026 James Beard Outstanding Bar winner be a first-time winner of any JBF award?Voided

    The 2026 James Beard Outstanding Bar winner will be a first time winner of any JBF award according to current industry hypothesis. This market assesses if the James Beard Foundation selects a venue with no previous wins in any category.

    Resolved 2026-06-17
  • Will the 2026 James Beard Foundation finalists list include at least 5 bar or beverage program nominations across all categories?Voided
    Resolved 2026-06-02
  • Voided
    Resolved 2026-06-02