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Liquor Bets

A prediction market for the spirits and bar industry. Built by Jason Littrell. 100% Free. Points only.

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This product uses AI-assisted research to collect, classify, summarize, and score public industry signals. Source links, timestamps, and methodology are provided wherever possible. AI does not create facts, and every published item is grounded in cited source material.

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Resolved archive/June 2026

Resolved · June 2026

Resolved markets · June 2026

Every Liquor Bets prediction market that resolved in June 2026, with outcomes. 5 resolved. 26 voided.

31 total · 5 resolved · 26 voided

Hospitality

Will BCB Brooklyn 2026 include at least three education sessions focused on no-low, wellness, THC, or functional beverages?Voided
No-low and wellness are not side conversations anymore. This market asks whether they show up as real programming at BCB Brooklyn.
Resolved 2026-06-13
Will Bar Convent Brooklyn list at least 250 exhibitors before doors open on June 9, 2026?Voided
BCB Brooklyn already says 230+ exhibitors. The market is whether the room gets bigger before doors open.
Resolved 2026-06-13
Will the TTB approve more tequila-based RTDs than vodka-based RTDs in May 2026?Voided
Resolved 2026-06-12
Will Bar Convent Brooklyn publish an attendance or exhibitor projection for 2026 by May 31?Voided
Resolved 2026-06-05
Will Punch publish a long-form feature on a non-coastal US bar or program in May 2026?Voided
Resolved 2026-06-05
Will the Bar Convent Brooklyn 2026 program announcement include a confirmed keynote from a global spirits brand CEO or brand ambassador at director level or above?Voided
Resolved 2026-06-04
Will Eater NY publish at least one bar or cocktail lounge opening feature in May 2026?Voided
Resolved 2026-06-04
Will Bar Convent Brooklyn 2026 publicly confirm at least one keynote speaker by May 31, 2026?Voided
Resolved 2026-06-02
Will Eater NY publish a Memorial Day weekend bar or rooftop guide between May 18 and May 25, 2026?Voided
Resolved 2026-06-02

Legislation

Will any US state legislature pass a three-tier reform bill in May 2026?Voided
Resolved 2026-06-12
Will the NYS State Liquor Authority post any May 2026 board meeting agenda item explicitly addressing cannabis or hemp-derived beverages?Voided
Resolved 2026-06-07
Will the US federal government announce any new spirits-specific tariff action in May 2026?YES
Resolved 2026-06-04
Will any TTB COLA approval in May 2026 include a hemp-derived THC beverage label from a licensed distillery?Voided
Resolved 2026-06-04
Will any NYS State Liquor Authority full board meeting in May 2026 publish an agenda item explicitly addressing on-premises licensing reform or processing-time reduction?Voided
Resolved 2026-06-02
Will the TTB COLA database log at least one agave-spirit-based ready-to-drink with a hemp-derived THC formulation as approved between May 1 and May 31, 2026?

Issues

Will US off-premise bourbon dollar sales decline year-over-year in the latest Circana / NielsenIQ four-week period reported in May 2026?Voided
Resolved 2026-06-12
Will the IWSR's next published US briefing revise its RTD growth forecast downward?Voided
Resolved 2026-06-07
Will at least one new celebrity-fronted spirits brand publicly launch in May 2026?Voided
Resolved 2026-06-07
Will Circana or NABCA report that Cinco de Mayo 2026 tequila volume sales were lower year-over-year?Voided
Resolved 2026-06-07
Will WhistlePig announce a new limited-edition release in May 2026?Voided
Resolved 2026-06-05
Will all five major spirits groups post Pride-themed content from their primary US accounts before June 1, 2026?Voided

M&A

Will Pernod Ricard publicly comment on any portfolio sale rumor in May 2026?NO
Resolved 2026-06-06
Will Campari Group close or announce any acquisition in May 2026?NO
Resolved 2026-06-06
Will the Reyes Beverage Group acquisition of RNDC assets close before June 1, 2026?YES
Resolved 2026-06-03
Will Constellation Brands ($STZ) close higher on May 29, 2026 than it closed on May 1, 2026?Voided
Resolved 2026-06-02
Will Brown-Forman ($BF.B) close higher on May 29, 2026 than on May 1, 2026?NO
Resolved 2026-06-02

Awards

Will the 2026 James Beard Foundation finalists list include at least 5 bar or beverage program nominations across all categories?Voided
Resolved 2026-06-02

Voided

Resolved 2026-06-02

Resolved 2026-06-04

Will the IWSR's next published US market briefing rank ready-to-drink as a top-3 growth category by volume?Voided

Resolved 2026-06-04

Will the NABCA April 2026 monthly data report show year-over-year volume growth for agave spirits (tequila + mezcal combined)?Voided

Resolved 2026-06-02

Will the NABCA April 2026 monthly data report show mezcal growing faster (year-over-year volume) than tequila in control states?Voided

Resolved 2026-06-02

Will the May 2026 issue of Drinks International feature a non-US spirits brand as its primary cover story?Voided

Resolved 2026-06-02