No new predictions or edits. Wait for resolution.
Tariff news is the loudest variable in the category. Whether May brings a hammer or a pause is anyone's guess.
Resolves YES if any US federal action (executive order, USTR announcement, Treasury action, or signed legislation) specifically targeting imported spirits is publicly announced between May 1 and May 31, 2026. Country-of-origin-specific actions count. Resolves NO if no such action is announced.
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