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Liquor Bets

A prediction market for the spirits and bar industry. Built by Jason Littrell. 100% Free. Points only.

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This product uses AI-assisted research to collect, classify, summarize, and score public industry signals. Source links, timestamps, and methodology are provided wherever possible. AI does not create facts, and every published item is grounded in cited source material.

© 2026 Jason Littrellv1
Resolved archive/July 2026
Resolved · July 2026

Resolved markets · July 2026

Every Liquor Bets prediction market that resolved in July 2026, with outcomes. 11 resolved. 25 voided.

36 total · 11 resolved · 25 voided
Hospitality
  • Will M.S. Walker announce a new craft spirits brand launch in its portfolio within 72 hours?Voided

    Binary market on whether M.S. Walker publicly launches a new craft spirits brand in its book this week.

    Resolved 2026-07-29
  • Will a major US cocktail bar announce a new flagship location via press release within 72 hours?NO

    Bet on whether a nationally recognized cocktail bar brand announces a new flagship opening in the next 3 days.

    Resolved 2026-07-23
  • Will a top-5 U.S. whiskey brand debut a new RTD line via press release within 72 hours?Voided

    Call whether a top-5 whiskey label announces a branded RTD launch through its newsroom in three days.

    Resolved 2026-07-21
  • Will the Beverage Alcohol Retailers Conference publish a new 2026 agenda update this week?Voided

    Will BARC add or significantly revise a 2026 conference agenda item on its official site within 7 days?

    Resolved 2026-07-12
Awards
  • Will a 2026 Spirited Awards category be added or renamed to reflect non-traditional formats?Voided

    The Spirited Awards, administered by the Tales of the Cocktail Foundation, update their categories periodically to reflect industry evolution. The current award structure does not include a category specifically for all-day, daytime, or hybrid bar formats. A 2026 addition would signal the awards establishment's recognition that the traditional cocktail bar format is no longer the only relevant competitive tier.

    Resolved 2026-07-29
  • Will the 2026 Spirited Awards Bartender of the Year winner be a woman?Voided

    The 2026 Spirited Awards American Bartender of the Year winner will be a woman as determined by the official announcement from the Tales of the Cocktail Foundation. This hypothesis considers whether the individual receiving the top domestic honors identifies as female or uses she or her pronouns at the time of the 20th annual ceremony.

    Resolved 2026-07-28
  • Will at least one Mexico City venue win any 2026 Spirited Awards category?Voided

    Mexico City venues face the question of whether at least one will win a category at the 2026 Spirited Awards. This market tracks if the city secures a win during the 20th ceremony according to the Tales of the Cocktail Foundation.

    Resolved 2026-07-28
  • Who wins Best International Bar Mentor at the 2026 Spirited Awards?Voided
Legislation
  • Will Johnson Brothers announce a new control-state spirits listing within 72 hours?Voided

    Bet on whether Johnson Brothers secures and announces a fresh control-state spirits listing within 3 days.

    Resolved 2026-07-27
  • Will any top-10 US distributor disclose a new state exit in its next 8-K filed by Monday?Voided

    The bet is whether another big house quietly signals a state-level retreat in the next 8-K.

    Resolved 2026-07-15
  • Will Maryland House Bill 736 (RTD cocktail alcoholic beverage tax) be signed into law before July 1, 2026?Voided

    Maryland House Bill 736 is signed into law before July 1, 2026, according to the Maryland General Assembly bill tracker. This legislation adjusts the tax rate for spirits based ready to drink cocktails to align with other portable beverage categories.

    Resolved 2026-07-04
M&A
  • Will a top-5 U.S. spirits supplier file an S-1 or F-1 for a spin-off or IPO within the next 72 hours?NO

    YES if Diageo, Pernod, Brown-Forman, Constellation, or Becle/Cuervo files an S-1 or F-1 for any spin-off/IPO within 72 hours.

    Resolved 2026-07-26
  • Will a top-10 spirits supplier file an 8-K announcing a brand acquisition within 72 hours?NO

    Speculate on whether any top-10 spirits company files an 8-K reporting a completed brand acquisition in the next three days.

    Resolved 2026-07-24
  • Will a top-10 global spirits company file an 8-K this week naming a new U.S. distributor realignment?NO

    Take a position on whether a major spirits company will disclose U.S. distributor realignment in an 8-K within days.

    Resolved 2026-07-23
  • Will Southern Glazer's announce a new supplier alignment or portfolio deal in the next 72 hours?Voided

    Will SGWS publicly announce a new supplier alignment, portfolio deal, or major brand addition within 72 hours?

    Resolved 2026-07-22
Issues
  • Will any SGWS-related SEC filing in the next 72 hours disclose new legal or regulatory actions?Voided

    Bet on whether the next SGWS-adjacent SEC filing in 72 hours mentions new legal or regulatory actions.

    Resolved 2026-07-25
  • Will Southern Glazer's announce another distributor realignment this week?NO

    Yes if SGWS posts another public realignment or book shift by week’s end.

    Resolved 2026-07-18
  • Will Southern Glazer's formally debut its new corporate name within 72 hours?NO

    Will SGWS publicly roll out its new corporate name on owned channels within three days?

    Resolved 2026-07-17
  • Will SGWS announce another supplier book gain by Friday?NO

    YES if SGWS announces a new supplier or portfolio distribution win by Friday.

    Resolved 2026-07-17
  • Will Reyes Beverage Group file a new WARN Act notice in any state within the next 72 hours?
← June 2026
All archives
August 2026 →
Will Vinexpo Americas publicly confirm a major new US spirits sponsor this week?NO

Will Vinexpo Americas add a major new US spirits sponsor to its official partner roster this week?

Resolved 2026-07-05

The 2026 Spirited Awards Best International Bar Mentor winner is announced July 23, 2026 at The Fillmore New Orleans. Finalists: Monica Berg, Shingo Gokan, Indra Kantono, Anna Sebastian.

Resolved 2026-07-28
  • Will any 2026 Spirited Award speech reference Ozempic, GLP-1, or weight-loss medications?Voided

    The Spirited Awards ceremony in New Orleans is the most visible annual gathering of the global bar industry. GLP-1 medications have become the most debated macro topic in alcohol consumption. A direct mention from the stage would confirm that the topic has fully penetrated bar culture and is no longer just an investor or analyst concern.

    Resolved 2026-07-27
  • Which region's winner takes Speed Rack Season 14 at Republic NOLA?Voided

    Six regional winners compete Sunday July 19 in New Orleans. Which region takes home Season 14.

    Resolved 2026-07-20
  • Will an East Coast bartender win Speed Rack Season 14 at Republic NOLA?Voided

    Three East Coast regional winners face three from the Midwest and West at the Speed Rack finals in New Orleans.

    Resolved 2026-07-20
  • Will any US bar receive a debut listing on the World’s 50 Best Bars list announced this week?Voided

    Will the World’s 50 Best Bars list announced this week include at least one first‑time US bar?

    Resolved 2026-07-12
  • Will any US bar named in 2025’s 50 Best Bars list feature on the new 2026 regional shortlist announced this week?Voided

    Market on whether at least one US bar from the 2025 global 50 Best list appears on the 2026 regional shortlist released this week.

    Resolved 2026-07-08
  • Will Southern Glazer’s announce a new supplier book win within the next 72 hours?Voided

    Bet on whether SGWS publicly adds another supplier to its portfolio via press release within 72 hours.

    Resolved 2026-07-20
  • Will Johnson Brothers announce a new multi-state partnership with a major spirits supplier within 72 hours?Voided

    Speculate on whether Johnson Brothers unveils a multi-state spirits distribution partnership this week.

    Resolved 2026-07-18
  • Will Brown-Forman or Sazerac publicly confirm formal deal talks before July 1, 2026?NO

    The Brown-Forman rumor mill is already loud. This market asks for the thing that actually matters: formal confirmation.

    Resolved 2026-07-04
  • Will any major spirits group announce a $1B+ acquisition before July 1, 2026?Voided

    Major spirits groups are evaluating billion dollar targets to bolster portfolio growth. The market asks if any of the eight largest global spirits companies will announce an acquisition valued at one billion dollars or more before July 1, 2026.

    Resolved 2026-07-04
  • NO

    Bet on whether Reyes triggers a fresh state WARN Act layoff notice within three days.

    Resolved 2026-07-15
  • Will any top-10 US spirits distributor file an 8-K announcing a new market exit by Friday?NO

    Does a publicly traded top-10 US distributor disclose a new state or regional exit in its next 8-K this week?

    Resolved 2026-07-12
  • Will Southern Glazer's formally announce its corporate name change within 72 hours?Voided

    Wager on whether SGWS issues an official press release confirming its corporate name change in the next 3 days.

    Resolved 2026-07-12
  • Will any major US distributor be named as a sponsoring partner in the 2026 Proof Awards RTD results release?Voided

    Market on whether a major US distributor appears as a named sponsor in the official Proof Awards RTD results release.

    Resolved 2026-07-09
  • Will Pernod Ricard flag another year of softer U.S. spirits demand in its next update?Voided

    YES if Pernod explicitly warns on softer U.S. spirits demand, NO otherwise.

    Resolved 2026-07-09
  • Will any major US distributor announce a new state exit via public filing by July 5?Voided

    Will a top-10 US wine and spirits distributor publicly file a state market exit within the next seven days?

    Resolved 2026-07-06
  • Will a second major Kentucky distillery announce a 2026 production pause before July 4?Voided

    Suntory Global Spirits announced in late December 2025 that it would pause distillation at the main Jim Beam distillery in Clermont for all of 2026. The question is whether overproduction pressure forces a second major Kentucky distillery to follow suit before Independence Day 2026.

    Resolved 2026-07-06