Every Liquor Bets prediction market that resolved in July 2026, with outcomes. 11 resolved. 25 voided.
Binary market on whether M.S. Walker publicly launches a new craft spirits brand in its book this week.
Bet on whether a nationally recognized cocktail bar brand announces a new flagship opening in the next 3 days.
Call whether a top-5 whiskey label announces a branded RTD launch through its newsroom in three days.
Will BARC add or significantly revise a 2026 conference agenda item on its official site within 7 days?
The Spirited Awards, administered by the Tales of the Cocktail Foundation, update their categories periodically to reflect industry evolution. The current award structure does not include a category specifically for all-day, daytime, or hybrid bar formats. A 2026 addition would signal the awards establishment's recognition that the traditional cocktail bar format is no longer the only relevant competitive tier.
The 2026 Spirited Awards American Bartender of the Year winner will be a woman as determined by the official announcement from the Tales of the Cocktail Foundation. This hypothesis considers whether the individual receiving the top domestic honors identifies as female or uses she or her pronouns at the time of the 20th annual ceremony.
Mexico City venues face the question of whether at least one will win a category at the 2026 Spirited Awards. This market tracks if the city secures a win during the 20th ceremony according to the Tales of the Cocktail Foundation.
Bet on whether Johnson Brothers secures and announces a fresh control-state spirits listing within 3 days.
The bet is whether another big house quietly signals a state-level retreat in the next 8-K.
Maryland House Bill 736 is signed into law before July 1, 2026, according to the Maryland General Assembly bill tracker. This legislation adjusts the tax rate for spirits based ready to drink cocktails to align with other portable beverage categories.
YES if Diageo, Pernod, Brown-Forman, Constellation, or Becle/Cuervo files an S-1 or F-1 for any spin-off/IPO within 72 hours.
Speculate on whether any top-10 spirits company files an 8-K reporting a completed brand acquisition in the next three days.
Take a position on whether a major spirits company will disclose U.S. distributor realignment in an 8-K within days.
Will SGWS publicly announce a new supplier alignment, portfolio deal, or major brand addition within 72 hours?
Bet on whether the next SGWS-adjacent SEC filing in 72 hours mentions new legal or regulatory actions.
Yes if SGWS posts another public realignment or book shift by week’s end.
Will SGWS publicly roll out its new corporate name on owned channels within three days?
YES if SGWS announces a new supplier or portfolio distribution win by Friday.
Will Vinexpo Americas add a major new US spirits sponsor to its official partner roster this week?
The 2026 Spirited Awards Best International Bar Mentor winner is announced July 23, 2026 at The Fillmore New Orleans. Finalists: Monica Berg, Shingo Gokan, Indra Kantono, Anna Sebastian.
The Spirited Awards ceremony in New Orleans is the most visible annual gathering of the global bar industry. GLP-1 medications have become the most debated macro topic in alcohol consumption. A direct mention from the stage would confirm that the topic has fully penetrated bar culture and is no longer just an investor or analyst concern.
Six regional winners compete Sunday July 19 in New Orleans. Which region takes home Season 14.
Three East Coast regional winners face three from the Midwest and West at the Speed Rack finals in New Orleans.
Will the World’s 50 Best Bars list announced this week include at least one first‑time US bar?
Market on whether at least one US bar from the 2025 global 50 Best list appears on the 2026 regional shortlist released this week.
Bet on whether SGWS publicly adds another supplier to its portfolio via press release within 72 hours.
Speculate on whether Johnson Brothers unveils a multi-state spirits distribution partnership this week.
The Brown-Forman rumor mill is already loud. This market asks for the thing that actually matters: formal confirmation.
Major spirits groups are evaluating billion dollar targets to bolster portfolio growth. The market asks if any of the eight largest global spirits companies will announce an acquisition valued at one billion dollars or more before July 1, 2026.
Bet on whether Reyes triggers a fresh state WARN Act layoff notice within three days.
Does a publicly traded top-10 US distributor disclose a new state or regional exit in its next 8-K this week?
Wager on whether SGWS issues an official press release confirming its corporate name change in the next 3 days.
Market on whether a major US distributor appears as a named sponsor in the official Proof Awards RTD results release.
YES if Pernod explicitly warns on softer U.S. spirits demand, NO otherwise.
Will a top-10 US wine and spirits distributor publicly file a state market exit within the next seven days?
Suntory Global Spirits announced in late December 2025 that it would pause distillation at the main Jim Beam distillery in Clermont for all of 2026. The question is whether overproduction pressure forces a second major Kentucky distillery to follow suit before Independence Day 2026.