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Liquor Bets

A prediction market for the spirits and bar industry. Built by Jason Littrell. 100% Free. Points only.

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This product uses AI-assisted research to collect, classify, summarize, and score public industry signals. Source links, timestamps, and methodology are provided wherever possible. AI does not create facts, and every published item is grounded in cited source material.

© 2026 Jason Littrellv1
Resolved archive/May 2026
Resolved · May 2026

Resolved markets · May 2026

Every Liquor Bets prediction market that resolved in May 2026, with outcomes. 31 resolved. 10 voided.

41 total · 31 resolved · 10 voided
M&A
  • Will MGP Ingredients ($MGPI) close higher on May 29, 2026 than on May 1, 2026?NO
    Resolved 2026-05-31
  • Will Pernod Ricard announce a major brand divestiture or exit in an 8-K filing by Friday?NO

    Pernod Ricard announces a brand exit or divestiture by Friday or does not.

    Resolved 2026-05-17
  • Will Becle report net sales growth above 8% in Q1 2026 when it files results Friday?NO

    Becle Q1 2026 net sales growth beats or misses 8% consensus.

    Resolved 2026-05-17
  • Will Brown-Forman report net revenue growth above 5% in Q3 FY2026 when it reports Friday?Voided

    Brown-Forman Q3 net revenue growth beats or misses 5% consensus.

    Resolved 2026-05-17
  • Will Constellation Brands report beer segment net sales growth above 6% in Q3 FY2026 when it files Thursday?
Awards
  • Will the 2026 Spirited Awards Top 10 Best New US Cocktail Bar list include at least one Texas venue?YES
    Resolved 2026-05-29
  • Will at least three NYC venues appear on the 2026 Spirited Awards Top 10 Best US Restaurant Bar list?NO
    Resolved 2026-05-29
  • Will the 2026 Spirited Awards Top 10 Best US Cocktail Bar list include at least one Brooklyn venue?NO
    Resolved 2026-05-23
  • Will Death and Co appear on the 2026 Spirited Awards Top 10 Best US Bar Team list?NO
    Resolved 2026-05-23
  • Will James Beard Awards announce 2026 semifinalists this week?NO

    James Beard semifinalists drop this week? YES if official announcement by May 12 EOD.

    Resolved 2026-05-16
  • Will Ellers Farm whisky debut trigger 10%+ pre-sale spike by Thursday?
Hospitality
  • Will Eater NY publish a summer 2026 rooftop guide before Memorial Day weekend?YES
    Resolved 2026-05-26
  • Will Pernod Ricard HY organic sales growth exceed 3% when reported May 11?Voided

    Pernod Ricard HY organic sales beat 3% consensus? Reports May 11.

    Resolved 2026-05-17
  • Will Constellation Brands Q4 beer segment sales beat $2.1B consensus on May 9?NO

    Constellation Q4 beer sales beat $2.1B? Earnings May 9, Modelo metrics in focus.

    Resolved 2026-05-15
  • Will Becle report Q1 tequila net revenues above 5B MXN on May 9?NO

    Becle Q1 tequila revenues beat 5B MXN consensus? Reports May 9 after Mexico City bell.

    Resolved 2026-05-15
  • Will Brown-Forman report Q4 organic net sales growth above 2% on May 9?NO
Issues
  • Will Mr Black Coffee Liqueur announce a collaboration product or event for International Cold Brew Day 2026?NO
    Resolved 2026-05-19
  • Will Shanken News Daily report at least one new flavored spirits product launch from a top-10 US spirits brand in the first two weeks of May 2026?NO
    Resolved 2026-05-17
  • Will The Spirits Business 'Spirit of the Week' feature a tequila or mezcal expression in the first full week of May 2026?NO
    Resolved 2026-05-17
  • Will Gran Centenario announce Rápido Gringo Test event results by May 8?NO

    YES if brand newsroom posts event outcomes or $5 discount activation data post-May 5.

    Resolved 2026-05-14
  • Will Shanken News Daily report distributor brand exit by Friday?YES

    YES if shankennewsdaily.com reports top distributor losing key brand by Fri EOD; NO otherwise.

    Resolved 2026-05-11
Legislation
  • Will any major spirits distributor file an 8-K announcing a state market exit by Friday?NO

    Major spirits distributor files 8-K announcing state market exit by Friday.

    Resolved 2026-05-17
  • Will any top-10 US spirits distributor file an 8-K naming a brand exit or state delisting before Friday?NO

    Top-10 US distributor files SEC 8-K naming brand exit or state delisting.

    Resolved 2026-05-17
  • Will Trump's UK whisky tariff lift appear in Federal Register by Friday?NO

    YES if Federal Register publishes tariff removal on UK whisky by Fri EOD; tracks MarketWatch Trump announcement.

    Resolved 2026-05-09
All archives
June 2026 →
Voided

Constellation Q3 beer segment net sales growth beats or misses 6% consensus.

Resolved 2026-05-17
  • Will Brown-Forman's Q3 FY2026 earnings beat consensus EPS when reported Thursday?Voided

    Brown-Forman Q3 FY2026 EPS beats or misses consensus estimate.

    Resolved 2026-05-17
  • Will Diageo report organic net sales growth above 3% in Q3 FY2026 when it files results Thursday?Voided

    Diageo Q3 organic net sales growth beats 3% consensus or misses.

    Resolved 2026-05-17
  • Will Pernod Ricard announce a major brand acquisition or partnership in the next 72 hours?NO

    Pernod Ricard announces acquisition, investment, or major partnership by Thursday.

    Resolved 2026-05-17
  • Will Constellation Brands report Q3 FY2026 organic net sales growth above 5% when it reports Thursday?Voided

    Constellation Q3 FY2026 organic net sales growth beats 5% consensus.

    Resolved 2026-05-17
  • Will Brown-Forman's Q2 2026 earnings beat consensus EPS when filed Friday morning?Voided

    Brown-Forman Q2 EPS beat or miss, filed Friday via SEC 8-K.

    Resolved 2026-05-17
  • Will Diageo report organic net sales growth above 3% in Q3 2026 when it files earnings Thursday?NO

    Diageo Q3 organic sales beat or miss, filed Thursday via SEC 8-K.

    Resolved 2026-05-15
  • Will Pernod Ricard announce a major brand exit or distributor departure in a press release by Friday?NO

    Pernod Ricard announces brand exit or distributor departure via official press release by Friday.

    Resolved 2026-05-14
  • Will Constellation Brands report net sales growth above 5% in Q3 2026 when it files earnings Thursday?Voided

    Constellation Brands Q3 net sales growth beat or miss, filed Thursday via SEC 8-K.

    Resolved 2026-05-11
  • Will Sazerac announce a Brown-Forman deal by Thursday close?YES

    Resolves on public Sazerac/Brown-Forman M&A announcement from PR Newswire or Reuters by EOD Thu.

    Resolved 2026-05-09
  • Will DEO (Diageo) finish Monday May 4, 2026 above Friday's close of $79.70?NO
    Resolved 2026-05-05
  • Will BF.B (Brown-Forman) finish Monday May 4, 2026 above Friday's close of $25.55?NO
    Resolved 2026-05-05
  • Will MGPI (MGP Ingredients) finish Monday May 4, 2026 above Friday's close of $19.40?NO
    Resolved 2026-05-05
  • Will STZ (Constellation Brands) finish Monday May 4, 2026 above Friday's close of $152.82?NO
    Resolved 2026-05-05
  • Voided

    YES if Ellers Farm site or PR shows 10%+ sales jump post-debut by Thu; NO if flat or below.

    Resolved 2026-05-05
  • Did the 2025 Spirited Awards Best US Cocktail Bar winner come from New York City?NO
    Resolved 2026-05-02
  • Brown-Forman Q4 earnings beat on organic sales growth? Consensus: ~2%. Reports May 9.

    Resolved 2026-05-15
  • Will Ryan Chetiyawardana (Mr Lyan) post new Instagram feed content on Monday May 4?NO
    Resolved 2026-05-05
  • Will any official Death and Co location account post on Instagram Monday May 4?NO
    Resolved 2026-05-05
  • Will jason launch LiquorBets.com by 5/7?Voided
    Resolved 2026-05-05