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Issues·Closes in 28d

Will US off-premise bourbon dollar sales decline year-over-year in the latest Circana / NielsenIQ four-week period reported in May 2026?

Bourbon was the bulletproof category for a decade. The first sustained dollar decline gets noticed.

Closes
May 31, 2026
Resolves
June 10, 2026
Source
Circana / NielsenIQ data via trade press (Shanken News Daily, IWSR commentary)
Judge
Jason Littrell
Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if the most recent four-week period US off-premise bourbon dollar sales figure published by Circana or NielsenIQ during May 2026 shows a year-over-year decline. Resolves NO if dollar sales are flat or up, or no such figure publishes during the window.

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Comments

Comments arrive in v1.5. For now, take it up with Jason.