Liquor Bets
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Liquor Bets

A prediction market for the spirits and bar industry. Built by Jason Littrell. 100% Free. Points only.

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This product uses AI-assisted research to collect, classify, summarize, and score public industry signals. Source links, timestamps, and methodology are provided wherever possible. AI does not create facts, and every published item is grounded in cited source material.

© 2026 Jason Littrellv1
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Looking for the editorial overview? See Spirits Industry Predictions 2026 for context on each open forecast.

Clear
AllM&AAwardsHospitalityLegislationIssues30dClosed (81)
SortCloses soonMost predictedNewestSuggest a market
ClustersBourbon GlutTequila CrisisGLP-1 EffectTHC vs AlcoholCelebrity SpiritsTariffs & TradeTipping WarsAI in Hospitality
Tagsdatacircanatequilacrossoverbourbonkdistillersinventoryhigh_noonwhite_clawrtdglp1off_premisedeclinemezcal
Showing 9 markets tagged data
Issuescloses in 180d

Will the 2026 Kentucky bourbon barrel inventory exceed 17 million?

bourbondatakdistillersinventory
YES 55%
Crowd
55% YES
Predictors
1
agave
titos
vodka
espresso_martini
trend
cocktails
Issues
closes in 196d

Will High Noon overtake White Claw in US off-premise dollar share for any 2026 Circana scan?

high_noonwhite_clawrtdcircana
YES 55%
Crowd
55% YES
Predictors
1
Issuescloses in 196d

Will US off-premise alcohol dollar sales decline year-over-year for three consecutive Circana four-week periods in 2026?

glp1off_premisecircanadata
YES 75%
Crowd
75% YES
Predictors
1
Issuescloses in 196d

Will mezcal outpace tequila in US off-premise YoY volume growth for any Circana period in 2026?

mezcaltequiladatacircana
NO 55%
Crowd
45% YES
Predictors
1
Issuescloses in 196d

Will a tequila brand outsell Tito's in any single 2026 Circana scan?

titostequilavodkadata
NO 90%
Crowd
10% YES
Predictors
1
Hospitalitycloses in 196d

Will the espresso martini still appear on the top 10 most-ordered cocktails list in any major US bar trend report at year-end 2026?

espresso_martinitrenddatacocktails
YES 85%
Crowd
85% YES
Predictors
1
Issuescloses in 196d

Will US THC beverage retail dollar sales surpass craft beer for any single Circana four-week period in 2026?

thccannabisdatacraft_beer
NO 70%
Crowd
30% YES
Predictors
1
Hospitalitycloses in 255d

Will the average US restaurant tip percentage on Toast or Square year-end 2026 reports drop below 18%?

tippingtoastsquaredata
YES 55%
Crowd
55% YES
Predictors
1
Issuescloses in 286d

Will US whiskey exports to the EU decline by more than 20% YoY in 2026?

tariffseuexportsdata
YES 60%
Crowd
60% YES
Predictors
1