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A prediction market for the spirits and bar industry. Built by Jason Littrell. 100% Free. Points only.

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This product uses AI-assisted research to collect, classify, summarize, and score public industry signals. Source links, timestamps, and methodology are provided wherever possible. AI does not create facts, and every published item is grounded in cited source material.

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All markets/Awards
Category

Awards prediction markets

TL;DR

James Beard, Tales of the Cocktail Spirited Awards, World's 50 Best, World's Best Bartender. Calibrated calls from people who actually work in the industry.

Awards markets reward people who know the room. They aggregate the trade-press whispers, the regional jury patterns, and the year-over-year voting drift into a single probability you can score.

43 open markets · 12 recent resolutions
Awardscloses in 8d

Who wins Best New International Cocktail Bar at the 2026 Spirited Awards?

spirited_awardsspirited_awards_2026awardstotc
YES 50%
Crowd
De Vie — Paris, France (50%)
Predictors
1
Recently resolved
  • Will Jessie Klarson win the Speed Rack Season 14 National Finals?resolved
  • Will any US bar receive a debut listing on the World’s 50 Best Bars list announced this week?voided
  • Will any US bar named in 2025’s 50 Best Bars list feature on the new 2026 regional shortlist announced this week?voided
  • Who wins Best New York Cocktail Bar at the 20th Spirited Awards?voided
  • Who wins International Bar Industry Icon 2026?voided
  • Which 2026 James Beard Outstanding Bar finalist will win?voided
  • Will any New York City venue win a 2026 James Beard Restaurant and Chef Award on June 15?resolved
  • Will Philadelphia win more 2026 James Beard Restaurant and Chef Award categories than New York City?resolved
  • Will any NYC bar or beverage program win a James Beard award in any category in 2026?
Other categories
M&A
Forecast which spirits brands get acquired, by whom, and when.
Hospitality
Openings, expansions, brand launches, leadership moves, and the operator decisions that define the next twelve months in bars and restaurants.
Legislation
Three-tier reform, direct-to-consumer rules, tip credit votes, license caps, THC beverage law.
Issues
Trends, controversies, executive moves, and the structural debates the industry is having right now.
Awardscloses in 8d

Who wins Best New U.S. Cocktail Bar at the 2026 Spirited Awards?

spirited_awardsspirited_awards_2026awardstotc
YES 65%
Crowd
Vandell — Los Angeles, CA (65%)
Predictors
1
Awardscloses in 8d

Who wins Best New Spirit or Cocktail Ingredient at the 2026 Spirited Awards?

spirited_awardsspirited_awards_2026awardstotc
YES 65%
Crowd
Giffard Non-Alcoholic Spritz Liqueur (65%)
Predictors
1
Awardscloses in 8d

Will a non-US venue win 2026 Spirited Awards Best International Cocktail Bar?

awardstotcspirited_awards_2026spirited_awards
YES 80%
Crowd
80% YES
Predictors
1
Awardscloses in 8d

Who wins Best International Cocktail Bar at the 2026 Spirited Awards?

spirited_awardsspirited_awards_2026awardstotc
YES 70%
Crowd
Satan's Whiskers — London, UK (70%)
Predictors
1
Awardscloses in 8d

Who wins Best International Bar Mentor at the 2026 Spirited Awards?

spirited_awardsspirited_awards_2026awardstotc
YES 66%
Crowd
Shingo Gokan (66%)
Predictors
1
Awardscloses in 8d

Will the 2026 Spirited Awards Best New US Cocktail Bar winner have opened in 2025 or 2026?

awardstotcspirited_awards_2026spirited_awards
YES 92%
Crowd
92% YES
Predictors
1
Awardscloses in 8d

Who wins Best International Brand Ambassador at the 2026 Spirited Awards?

spirited_awardsspirited_awards_2026awardstotc
YES 50%
Crowd
Claudia Cabrera — Fernet Branca (50%)
Predictors
1
Awardscloses in 8d

Will a 2026 Spirited Awards category be added or renamed to reflect non-traditional formats?

categoriesawardsformattotc
NO 94%
Crowd
6% YES
Predictors
1
Awardscloses in 8d

Who wins Best International Hotel Bar at the 2026 Spirited Awards?

spirited_awardsspirited_awards_2026awardstotc
YES 50%
Crowd
Library Bar at the Fairmont Royal York — Toronto, ON, Canada (50%)
Predictors
1
Awardscloses in 8d

Who wins Best U.S. Bar Mentor at the 2026 Spirited Awards?

spirited_awardsspirited_awards_2026awardstotc
YES 80%
Crowd
LP O'Brien (80%)
Predictors
1
Awardscloses in 8d

Who wins Best New Book on Drinks Culture, History, or Spirits at the 2026 Spirited Awards?

spirited_awardsspirited_awards_2026awardstotc
YES 66%
Crowd
The Comic Book History of the Cocktail by David Wondrich, illustrated by Dean Kotz (66%)
Predictors
1
Awardscloses in 8d

Who wins Best International Bar Team at the 2026 Spirited Awards?

spirited_awardsspirited_awards_2026awardstotc
YES 69%
Crowd
Bar Mauro — Mexico City, Mexico (69%)
Predictors
1
Awardscloses in 8d

Who wins Best International Restaurant Bar at the 2026 Spirited Awards?

spirited_awardsspirited_awards_2026awardstotc
YES 71%
Crowd
ARCA — Tulum, Mexico (71%)
Predictors
1
Awardscloses in 8d

Who wins U.S. Bartender of the Year at the 2026 Spirited Awards?

spirited_awardsspirited_awards_2026awardstotc
YES 80%
Crowd
Juliette Larrouy — schmuck., New York, NY (80%)
Predictors
1
Awardscloses in 8d

Who wins Best U.S. Brand Ambassador at the 2026 Spirited Awards?

spirited_awardsspirited_awards_2026awardstotc
YES 81%
Crowd
Cesar Sandoval — Casa Lumbre Spirits (81%)
Predictors
1
Awardscloses in 8d

Who wins Best U.S. Bar Team at the 2026 Spirited Awards?

spirited_awardsspirited_awards_2026awardstotc
YES 70%
Crowd
Sip & Guzzle — New York, NY (70%)
Predictors
1
Awardscloses in 8d

Who wins Best U.S. Hotel Bar at the 2026 Spirited Awards?

spirited_awardsspirited_awards_2026awardstotc
YES 80%
Crowd
Dear Irving on Hudson at the Aliz Hotel — New York, NY (80%)
Predictors
1
Awardscloses in 8d

Who wins Best U.S. Restaurant Bar at the 2026 Spirited Awards?

spirited_awardsspirited_awards_2026awardstotc
YES 70%
Crowd
Arnaud's French 75 Bar — New Orleans, LA (70%)
Predictors
1
Awardscloses in 8d

Who wins World's Best Cocktail Menu at the 2026 Spirited Awards?

spirited_awardsspirited_awards_2026awardstotc
YES 70%
Crowd
Danico — Paris, France (70%)
Predictors
1
Awardscloses in 8d

Who wins Best New Cocktail or Bartending Book at the 2026 Spirited Awards?

spirited_awardsspirited_awards_2026awardstotc
YES 68%
Crowd
The Madrusan Cocktail Companion by Michael Madrusan and Zara Madrusan (68%)
Predictors
1
Awardscloses in 8d

Who wins World's Best Spirits Selection at the 2026 Spirited Awards?

spirited_awardsspirited_awards_2026awardstotc
YES 60%
Crowd
Salón de Agave — Mexico City, Mexico (60%)
Predictors
1
Awardscloses in 8d

Who wins Best Broadcast, Podcast, or Online Video Series at the 2026 Spirited Awards?

spirited_awardsspirited_awards_2026awardstotc
YES 70%
Crowd
VinePair Spirit Reviews (70%)
Predictors
1
Awardscloses in 8d

Who wins Best U.S. Cocktail Bar at the 2026 Spirited Awards?

spirited_awardsspirited_awards_2026awardstotc
YES 65%
Crowd
SUPERBUENO — New York, NY (65%)
Predictors
1
Flashcloses in 8d
Awards

Will any 2026 Spirited Award speech reference Ozempic, GLP-1, or weight-loss medications?

awardstotcspirited_awards_2026spirited_awards
NO 92%
Crowd
8% YES
Predictors
1
Awardscloses in 8d

Who wins International Bartender of the Year at the 2026 Spirited Awards?

spirited_awardsspirited_awards_2026awardstotc
YES 50%
Crowd
Hedda Bruce — Tjoget, Stockholm, Sweden (50%)
Predictors
1
Awardscloses in 8d

Will a New York City venue win 2026 Spirited Awards Best US Cocktail Bar?

awardstotcspirited_awards_2026spirited_awards
YES 55%
Crowd
55% YES
Predictors
1
Awardscloses in 8d

Who wins Best Cocktail & Spirits Publication at the 2026 Spirited Awards?

spirited_awardsspirited_awards_2026awardstotc
YES 67%
Crowd
Imbibe (67%)
Predictors
1
Awardscloses in 8d

Who wins Best Cocktail & Spirits Writing at the 2026 Spirited Awards?

spirited_awardsspirited_awards_2026awardstotc
YES 64%
Crowd
"How Bars Are Responding to ICE Raids" by Emma Janzen for Punch (64%)
Predictors
1
Awardscloses in 8d

Will at least one Mexico City venue win any 2026 Spirited Awards category?

awardstotcspirited_awards_2026spirited_awards
YES 70%
Crowd
70% YES
Predictors
1
Awardscloses in 8d

Will the 2026 Spirited Awards Bartender of the Year winner be a woman?

awardstotcspirited_awards_2026spirited_awards
YES 55%
Crowd
55% YES
Predictors
1
Awardscloses in 8d

Will the 2026 Spirited Awards World's Best Cocktail Menu go to a US venue?

awardstotcspirited_awards_2026spirited_awards
NO 60%
Crowd
40% YES
Predictors
1
Awardscloses in 61d

Which tequila tops the 2026 Drinks International Brand Champions report?

YES 65%
Crowd
Jose Cuervo (65%)
Predictors
1
Awardscloses in 84d

Will World's 50 Best Bars 2026 name a US bar at No.1?

50_bestawardscocktail_barsmilan
NO 79%
Crowd
21% YES
Predictors
1
Awardscloses in 84d

Which NYC bar will rank highest on World's 50 Best Bars 2026?

50_bestawardsnycmilan
YES 65%
Crowd
Double Chicken Please (65%)
Predictors
1
Awardscloses in 84d

How many NYC bars make the World's 50 Best Bars 2026 top 50?

50_bestawardsnycmilan
YES 65%
Crowd
3-4 (65%)
Predictors
1
Awardscloses in 92d

Will more than three NYC venues land on the 2026 World's 50 Best Bars list?

50_bestnycawards
NO 55%
Crowd
45% YES
Predictors
1
Awardscloses in 92d

Will any World's 50 Best Bar publicly disclose that AI helped design a menu, drink, or guest experience in 2026?

ai50_bestmenusinnovation
NO 92%
Crowd
8% YES
Predictors
1
Awardscloses in 92d

Will any 2026 World's 50 Best Bar mention the espresso martini in its winning press write-up?

espresso_martini50_besteditorial
NO 70%
Crowd
30% YES
Predictors
1
Awardscloses in 92d

Will at least three of the World's 50 Best Bars 2026 list at least one zero-proof signature on their flagship menu?

non_alc50_bestmocktailsmenus
YES 85%
Crowd
85% YES
Predictors
1
Awardscloses in 122d

Will any cocktail-focused NYC venue earn a Michelin star in the 2026 NY State guide?

NO 70%
Crowd
30% YES
Predictors
1
Awardscloses in 169d

Will Speed Rack publish its Season 15 tour calendar by December 31, 2026?

speed_rackawardsbartender_competitionseason_15
Crowd
no predictions yet
Predictors
0
Awardscloses in 381d

Who wins the Speed Rack Season 15 National Finals?

speed_rackawardsbartender_competitionseason_15
Crowd
no predictions yet
Predictors
0
voided
  • Will the 2026 James Beard Outstanding Bar award go to a venue outside New York City?resolved
  • Which city's venue takes home the 2026 James Beard Outstanding Bar award?voided
  • Will a James Beard 2026 Outstanding Bar finalist publicly use AI in any operational workflow?voided