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Liquor Bets

A prediction market for the spirits and bar industry. Built by Jason Littrell. 100% Free. Points only.

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This product uses AI-assisted research to collect, classify, summarize, and score public industry signals. Source links, timestamps, and methodology are provided wherever possible. AI does not create facts, and every published item is grounded in cited source material.

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Data prediction markets · Liquor Bets | Liquor Bets

All topics/Data

Topic

Data prediction markets

Every open Liquor Bets market tagged data. Forecast outcomes alongside operators, bartenders, brand reps, and trade-press readers. 100% free. Points only.

9 open markets · 7 Issues · 2 Hospitality

Issuescloses in 183d

Will the 2026 Kentucky bourbon barrel inventory exceed 17 million?

bourbondatakdistillersinventory

YES 55%

Crowd

55% YES

Predictors

1+1/24h

Issuescloses in 199d

Will US THC beverage retail dollar sales surpass craft beer for any single Circana four-week period in 2026?

Other topics

M&A10 Bourbon5 Non Alc5 Awards5 Legislation5 James Beard5 Uncle Nearest5 Thc4 Celebrity Brand4 Rtd4 50 Best4

thccannabisdatacraft_beer

NO 70%

Crowd

30% YES

Predictors

1+1/24h

Issuescloses in 199d

Will mezcal outpace tequila in US off-premise YoY volume growth for any Circana period in 2026?

mezcaltequiladatacircana

NO 55%

Crowd

45% YES

Predictors

1+1/24h

Issuescloses in 199d

Will US off-premise alcohol dollar sales decline year-over-year for three consecutive Circana four-week periods in 2026?

glp1off_premisecircanadata

YES 75%

Crowd

75% YES

Predictors

1+1/24h

Issuescloses in 199d

Will High Noon overtake White Claw in US off-premise dollar share for any 2026 Circana scan?

high_noonwhite_clawrtdcircana

YES 55%

Crowd

55% YES

Predictors

1+1/24h

Issuescloses in 199d

Will a tequila brand outsell Tito's in any single 2026 Circana scan?

titostequilavodkadata

NO 90%

Crowd

10% YES

Predictors

1+1/24h

Hospitalitycloses in 199d

Will the espresso martini still appear on the top 10 most-ordered cocktails list in any major US bar trend report at year-end 2026?

espresso_martinitrenddatacocktails

YES 85%

Crowd

85% YES

Predictors

1+1/24h

Hospitalitycloses in 258d

Will the average US restaurant tip percentage on Toast or Square year-end 2026 reports drop below 18%?

tippingtoastsquaredata

YES 55%

Crowd

55% YES

Predictors

1+1/24h

Issuescloses in 289d

Will US whiskey exports to the EU decline by more than 20% YoY in 2026?

tariffseuexportsdata

YES 60%

Crowd

60% YES

Predictors

1+1/24h

Glp1

4