Liquor Bets
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Liquor Bets

A prediction market for the spirits and bar industry. Built by Jason Littrell. 100% Free. Points only.

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This product uses AI-assisted research to collect, classify, summarize, and score public industry signals. Source links, timestamps, and methodology are provided wherever possible. AI does not create facts, and every published item is grounded in cited source material.

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Resolution receipt

Will US off-premise bourbon dollar sales decline year-over-year in the latest Circana / NielsenIQ four-week period reported in May 2026?

VOIDED
IssuesResolved June 12, 2026by auto-resolver
Why this market was voided

Auto-voided after 2nd consecutive skip: low confidence (7).

All scores from this market have been cleared and do not count toward any leaderboard.

Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if the most recent four-week period US off-premise bourbon dollar sales figure published by Circana or NielsenIQ during May 2026 shows a year-over-year decline. Resolves NO if dollar sales are flat or up, or no such figure publishes during the window.

Primary source

Circana / NielsenIQ data via trade press (Shanken News Daily, IWSR commentary)

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