What questions can I forecast on Liquor Bets?
Liquor Bets runs markets on objective, public outcomes the trade press, regulators, or award bodies will resolve cleanly. Categories include spirits M&A, awards, hospitality issues, and legislation. We never run markets on whether a specific bar or brand will fail.
Liquor Bets runs prediction markets on objective, public outcomes that the trade press, regulators, or award bodies will resolve cleanly. The five categories are M&A, awards, hospitality issues, legislation, and openings. Examples include James Beard Foundation winners, Tales of the Cocktail Spirited Awards, beverage alcohol acquisitions, state-level hospitality legislation, and major venue openings by stated deadlines. We never run markets on whether a specific bar will fail, fold, or go under. We never run markets predicting closures or business failures. The hospitality industry is hard enough without a public scoreboard rooting for failure. We bet on the industry's wins, not its losses.