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Liquor Bets

A prediction market for the spirits and bar industry. Built by Jason Littrell. 100% Free. Points only.

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This product uses AI-assisted research to collect, classify, summarize, and score public industry signals. Source links, timestamps, and methodology are provided wherever possible. AI does not create facts, and every published item is grounded in cited source material.

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Resolution receipt

Will Shanken News Daily report distributor brand exit by Friday?

YES
IssuesResolved May 11, 2026by auto-resolver
Summary

Two primary Shanken News Daily articles within window explicitly name RNDC brand exits (e.g., suppliers to Reyes in California), directly satisfying criteria. Published May 4 and May 7, before May 8 23:59 UTC.

Evidence
01
Top Distributors Aim To Outperform In A Rapidly Shifting Market
Shanken News Daily
url
That exit from what was once a $2 billion source of revenue for RNDC set wine and spirits suppliers of all sizes scrambling to find new distribution options in California.
https://www.shankennewsdaily.com/2026/05/04/39764/top-distributors-aim-to-outperform-in-a-rapidly-shifting-market/
Captured May 4, 2026
02
Concha y Toro's U.S. Sales Slip On Distributor Transition
Shanken News Daily
url
Concha y Toro's U.S. sales have slipped amid a distributor transition, with the supplier shifting from RNDC to Reyes Beverage Group in key markets including California.
https://www.shankennewsdaily.com/2026/05/07/39793/concha-y-toros-u-s-sales-slip-on-distributor-transition/
Captured May 7, 2026
03
News Briefs for May 5, 2026
Shanken News Daily
url
No mention of any top distributor brand exit.
https://www.shankennewsdaily.com/2026/05/05/39773/news-briefs-for-may-5-2026/
Captured May 5, 2026
04
News Alert: RNDC Strikes Deals To Offload Midwest Businesses
Shanken News Daily
url
No specific article naming top distributor brand exit found in category.
https://www.shankennewsdaily.com/category/news/
Captured May 11, 2026
Confidence score
9/ 10

10 = primary source confirmed, no ambiguity. 7-9 = strong evidence, minor interpretation. Below 7 = material uncertainty; market should have been voided.

Resolution criteria

YES if shankennewsdaily.com publishes article naming top distributor brand exit by Fri 23:59 UTC; NO otherwise.

Primary source

Shankennewsdaily.com, Marketwatchmag.com

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