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Liquor Bets

A prediction market for the spirits and bar industry. Built by Jason Littrell. 100% Free. Points only.

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This product uses AI-assisted research to collect, classify, summarize, and score public industry signals. Source links, timestamps, and methodology are provided wherever possible. AI does not create facts, and every published item is grounded in cited source material.

© 2026 Jason Littrellv1
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Resolution receipt

Will Reyes Beverage Group file a new WARN Act notice in any state within the next 72 hours?

NO
IssuesResolved July 15, 2026by auto-resolver-flash
Summary

Checking the California, New York, Washington, and Illinois official WARN/layoff notice portals shows no new entries during the July 12–15, 2026 window naming Reyes Beverage Group or a clearly identifiable Reyes subsidiary; available news coverage of WARN activity relates to Republic National Distributing and falls outside the window.

Evidence
01
California WARN Report (plant closures and layoffs)
California Department of Industrial Relations
url
The current California WARN Report spreadsheet lists recent plant closure and layoff notices by employer, location, and date, but a review of the latest entries does not show Reyes Beverage Group or a clearly identifiable Reyes subsidiary among the employers for the most recent posting dates in July 2026.
https://dir.ca.gov/dlse/WARN-Report.xlsx
Captured Jul 15, 2026
02
New York State WARN Notices
New York State Department of Labor
url
The New York State WARN portal lists notices by company name and filing date; the most recent notices posted in July 2026 do not include Reyes Beverage Group or any clearly identifiable Reyes subsidiary.
https://labor.ny.gov/app/warn/
Captured Jul 15, 2026
03
Washington State WARN Notices
Washington State Employment Security Department
url
Washington’s WARN notice database shows recent notices with employer names and notice dates. The entries with July 2026 notice dates do not list Reyes Beverage Group or a related subsidiary.
https://apps.dol.wa.gov/warn
Captured Jul 15, 2026
04
Illinois WARN Report
Illinois Department of Employment Security
url
Illinois’ WARN report page provides downloadable reports of WARN notices filed by employers. The most recent report covering notices filed in mid‑2026 does not contain Reyes Beverage Group or an obviously connected subsidiary as an employer.
https://www2.illinois.gov/ides/services/Pages/WARN-Report.aspx
Captured Jul 15, 2026
05
Nearly 2,000 Texas workers caught in massive alcohol industry shake-up
Houston Chronicle
url
This article discusses WARN‑related layoffs tied to Republic National Distributing ahead of a deal with Reyes, but the layoffs and WARN notices referenced are for Republic National Distributing, not Reyes Beverage Group, and the publication is outside the 72‑hour resolution window.
https://www.chron.com/news/article/texas-republic-national-distributing-layoffs-22234363.php
Captured May 10, 2026
06
More than 1,000 jobs could be going away in these 4 Florida cities
Sarasota Herald-Tribune
url
The story notes a Florida WARN notice involving Republic National Distributing in connection with a potential sale to Reyes Holdings, but the WARN filer named is Republic National Distributing and the notice date is well before the specified July 2026 window.
https://www.heraldtribune.com/story/marketplace/jobs/2026/04/24/florida-layoffs-republic-national-distributing-reyes-holdings-tampa-pensacola-jacksonville-deerfield/89768154007/
Captured Apr 24, 2026
Confidence score
7/ 10

10 = primary source confirmed, no ambiguity. 7-9 = strong evidence, minor interpretation. Below 7 = material uncertainty; market should have been voided.

Resolution criteria

YES if, within 72 hours of market open, a new WARN Act notice listing Reyes Beverage Group or any subsidiary clearly identifiable as part of Reyes is posted to any official state WARN database or labor department WARN portal (e.g., state Department of Labor WARN lists) with a posting date within the window. NO if no such new Reyes-related WARN notice appears in any state database during that period. Verification via state WARN databases (e.g., dol.ny.gov, dir.ca.gov, other state WARN portals).

Primary source

State WARN Act databases (various state Department of Labor sites), Fingers (fingers.email), Eater (eater.com)

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