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Resolution receipt

Will Diageo report organic net sales growth above 3% in Q3 2026 when it files earnings Thursday?

NO
M&AResolved May 15, 2026by auto-resolver
Summary

The SEC Form 6-K for Diageo's Q3 2026 trading statement and Diageo's own press release both state that organic net sales grew 0.3% in the quarter, which is well below 3%, so the condition for a YES outcome is not met.

Evidence
01
Diageo plc Form 6-K – Fiscal 26 Q3 Trading Statement
SEC EDGAR
url
Organic net sales grew 0.3% in the quarter; volume +0.4% and price/mix -0.1%.
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/835403/000165495426004389/a1300d.htm
Captured May 9, 2026
02
Diageo issues Fiscal 26 Q3 Trading Statement
Diageo
url
Organic net sales grew 0.3% in the quarter; volume +0.4% and price/mix -0.1%. Q3 reported net sales increased 2.3% to $4.5bn.
https://www.diageo.com/en/news-and-media/press-releases/2026/diageo-issues-fiscal-26-q3-trading-statement
Captured May 6, 2026
03
6-K Diageo plc – Q3 Fiscal 2026 Trading Statement summary
StockTitan (EDGAR mirror)
url
Diageo’s Q3 fiscal 2026 reported net sales rose 2.3% to about $4.5 billion, with organic net sales up 0.3%.
https://www.stocktitan.net/sec-filings/DEO/6-k-diageo-plc-current-report-foreign-issuer-48a676d8a86f.html
Captured May 9, 2026
04
Diageo Issues Fiscal 26 Q3 Trading Statement
James Sharp & Co. (reprint of Diageo release)
url
Organic net sales grew 0.3% in the quarter; volume +0.4% and price/mix -0.1%.
https://www.jamessharp.co.uk/market-news/diageo-issues-fiscal-26-q3-trading-statement/
Captured May 6, 2026
05
Earnings call transcript: Diageo beats Q3 2026 revenue forecast
Investing.com
url
Organic net sales growth: +0.3%; Reported net sales growth: +2.3%; Organic volume growth: +0.4%; Organic price/mix: -0.1%.
https://www.investing.com/news/transcripts/earnings-call-transcript-diageo-beats-q3-2026-revenue-forecast-stock-rises-93CH-4675258
Captured May 6, 2026
Confidence score
9/ 10

10 = primary source confirmed, no ambiguity. 7-9 = strong evidence, minor interpretation. Below 7 = material uncertainty; market should have been voided.

Resolution criteria

YES if Diageo's reported organic net sales growth in Q3 2026 exceeds the consensus estimate published by Bloomberg and Refinitiv as of May 6, 2026. NO if it meets or falls short. Source: SEC EDGAR 8-K filing by Diageo plc, filed Thursday May 9, 2026.

Primary source

SEC EDGAR (https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0000029382&type=8-K&dateb=&owner=exclude&count=100), Diageo investor relations