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Liquor Bets

A prediction market for the spirits and bar industry. Built by Jason Littrell. 100% Free. Points only.

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This product uses AI-assisted research to collect, classify, summarize, and score public industry signals. Source links, timestamps, and methodology are provided wherever possible. AI does not create facts, and every published item is grounded in cited source material.

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Resolution receipt

Will Constellation Brands Q4 beer segment sales beat $2.1B consensus on May 9?

NO
HospitalityResolved May 15, 2026by auto-resolver
Summary

The official Q4 FY2026 earnings release on ir.cbrands.com reports beer net sales of about $1.73 billion, which is well below the $2.1 billion consensus threshold, so the condition for a YES outcome is not met.

Evidence
01
Constellation Brands Q4 FY2026 Earnings Release
Constellation Brands (ir.cbrands.com)
url
For the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, beer net sales increased 1% to $1,730.0 million compared with $1,713.2 million in the prior-year period.
https://ir.cbrands.com/static-files/0f9a40a5-3a0a-4c8b-9b78-3f0e9c0c3c2b
Captured Apr 30, 2026
02
Constellation Brands reports fourth quarter and fiscal 2026 results
Constellation Brands (ir.cbrands.com)
url
Fourth quarter fiscal 2026 beer business net sales were approximately $1.7 billion, up 1% on a reported basis versus the prior year.
https://ir.cbrands.com/news-releases/news-release-details/constellation-brands-reports-fourth-quarter-and-fiscal-2026-results
Captured Apr 30, 2026
03
Constellation Brands (STZ) Down 7.9% Since Last Earnings Report
Zacks Investment Research
url
Constellation Brands' sales for the beer business jumped nearly 1% year over year to $1.73 billion, backed by a rise of 1.1% in shipment volumes and favorable pricing.
https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2918268/constellation-brands-stz-down-79-since-last-earnings-report-can-it-rebound
Captured May 13, 2026
04
Constellation Brands Q4 FY2026 Earnings Context and Beer Performance
tikr.com
url
https://www.tikr.com/blog/modelo-just-launched-its-first-high-abv-beer-heres-what-it-means-for-constellation-brands-stock
Captured May 15, 2026
05
Constellation Brands News and Events (IR homepage)
ir.cbrands.com
url
https://ir.cbrands.com/news-events
Captured May 15, 2026
Confidence score
10/ 10

10 = primary source confirmed, no ambiguity. 7-9 = strong evidence, minor interpretation. Below 7 = material uncertainty; market should have been voided.

Resolution criteria

YES if beer segment net sales exceed $2.1B in Q4 earnings release; NO otherwise. Source: ir.cbrands.com.

Primary source

Constellation Brands Investor Relations, https://ir.cbrands.com

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