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Liquor Bets

A prediction market for the spirits and bar industry. Built by Jason Littrell. 100% Free. Points only.

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This product uses AI-assisted research to collect, classify, summarize, and score public industry signals. Source links, timestamps, and methodology are provided wherever possible. AI does not create facts, and every published item is grounded in cited source material.

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Resolution receipt

Will Brown-Forman report Q4 organic net sales growth above 2% on May 9?

NO
HospitalityResolved May 15, 2026by auto-resolver
Summary

Brown-Forman’s own May 9, 2026 Q4 FY2026 earnings release and conference call clearly state that organic net sales grew 1% year-over-year in the fourth quarter, which does not exceed the 2% threshold.

Evidence
01
Brown‑Forman Reports Fourth Quarter and Fiscal 2026 Results
Brown-Forman
url
For the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, reported net sales decreased 3%, while organic net sales increased 1% compared to the same prior-year period.
https://ir.brown-forman.com/news-releases/news-release-details/brown-forman-reports-fourth-quarter-and-fiscal-2026-results
Captured May 9, 2026
02
Q4 FY2026 Earnings Release Supplement
Brown-Forman
url
Q4 FY26 organic net sales growth: +1% versus prior year, reflecting modest underlying growth partially offset by portfolio optimization and inventory normalization.
https://ir.brown-forman.com/static-files/bf-q4-2026-earnings-release-supplement
Captured May 9, 2026
03
Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2026 Earnings Conference Call Transcript
Brown-Forman
url
CFO: "In the fourth quarter, organic net sales grew 1% year-over-year, in line with our expectations and lapping a very strong prior-year quarter."
https://ir.brown-forman.com/events-and-presentations/event-details/2026/brown-forman-corporation-fourth-quarter-and-fiscal-year-2026-earnings-conference-call
Captured May 9, 2026
04
Brown-Forman Earnings Call Transcripts
stockanalysis.com
url
https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/bf.b/transcripts/
Captured May 15, 2026
05
Brown-Forman Earnings Guidance
simplywall.st
url
https://simplywall.st/stocks/it/food-beverage-tobacco/bit-1bfb/brown-forman-shares?_pr=web
Captured May 15, 2026
06
Strategic Audit of Brown-Forman
digitalcommons.unl.edu
url
https://digitalcommons.unl.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1911&context=honorstheses
Captured May 15, 2026
Confidence score
9/ 10

10 = primary source confirmed, no ambiguity. 7-9 = strong evidence, minor interpretation. Below 7 = material uncertainty; market should have been voided.

Resolution criteria

YES if organic net sales growth exceeds 2% YoY in earnings release or conference call transcript; NO otherwise. Source: ir.brown-forman.com.

Primary source

Brown-Forman Investor Relations, https://ir.brown-forman.com

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