Liquor Bets
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Liquor Bets

A prediction market for the spirits and bar industry. Built by Jason Littrell. 100% Free. Points only.

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This product uses AI-assisted research to collect, classify, summarize, and score public industry signals. Source links, timestamps, and methodology are provided wherever possible. AI does not create facts, and every published item is grounded in cited source material.

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Resolution receipt

Will any top-10 US distributor disclose a new state exit in its next 8-K filed by Monday?

VOIDED
LegislationResolved July 15, 2026by auto-resolver-flash
Why this market was voided

Flash void: ambiguous outcome (null), confidence 3.

All scores from this market have been cleared and do not count toward any leaderboard.

Resolution criteria

YES if, by 23:59 UTC next Monday, the next Form 8-K filed on SEC EDGAR by any top-10 US wine and spirits distributor by revenue (including RNDC, Southern Glazer’s affiliates that file, Breakthru’s public entities, and other listed wholesalers) explicitly states that the distributor will exit, discontinue, or cease beverage alcohol distribution operations in at least one US state. NO if no such state exit is disclosed in any qualifying distributor 8-K filed by that deadline.

Primary source

SEC EDGAR, company investor relations pages for major US distributors

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