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Liquor Bets

A prediction market for the spirits and bar industry. Built by Jason Littrell. 100% Free. Points only.

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This product uses AI-assisted research to collect, classify, summarize, and score public industry signals. Source links, timestamps, and methodology are provided wherever possible. AI does not create facts, and every published item is grounded in cited source material.

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Resolution receipt

Will STZ (Constellation Brands) finish Monday May 4, 2026 above Friday's close of $152.82?

NO
M&AResolved May 5, 2026by auto-resolver
Summary

Evidence shows STZ closed at $152.82 on May 1 (Friday), matching the reference close; no May 4 data found as markets have not opened by 4 AM UTC May 5. Company IR and Investing.com confirm the Friday close exactly at threshold.

Evidence
01
STZ Historical Data from Company IR
Constellation Brands IR
url
May 1, 2026 4:00 PM ET ... After Hours: $152.82 0.00(0.00%) May 1, 2026 4:00 PM ET Volume: 38,192.
https://ir.cbrands.com/stock-data/historical-data
Captured May 1, 2026
02
STZ Closing Price May 1, 2026: $152.82
Investing.com
url
May 01, 2026, 152.82, 157.33, 157.73, 152.54, 1.50M, -2.40%.
https://www.investing.com/equities/constellation-a-historical-data
Captured May 1, 2026
03
STZ Historical Prices Up to Apr 23, 2026
FinancialContent
url
Apr 23, 2026, 157.74, 160.46 ; Apr 22, 2026, 157.39, 158.40 ; Apr 21, 2026, 159.75, 159.88 ; Apr 20, 2026, 162.12, 163.82.
https://markets.financialcontent.com/stocks/quote/historical?Symbol=321%3A1132109
Captured May 5, 2026
04
STZ Price History Apr 22, 2026: 156.88
Barchart.com
url
156.88 -0.07 (-0.04%) 04/22/26 [NYSE].
https://www.barchart.com/stocks/quotes/STZ/price-history/historical
Captured Apr 22, 2026
Confidence score
7/ 10

10 = primary source confirmed, no ambiguity. 7-9 = strong evidence, minor interpretation. Below 7 = material uncertainty; market should have been voided.

Resolution criteria

YES if STZ official 4pm ET closing price on May 4, 2026 is strictly greater than $152.82. NO if equal to or less than $152.82. Source of truth: NYSE official close as published on Yahoo Finance.

Primary source

Yahoo Finance / NYSE closing price (May 4, 2026 4pm ET)

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