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Liquor Bets

A prediction market for the spirits and bar industry. Built by Jason Littrell. 100% Free. Points only.

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This product uses AI-assisted research to collect, classify, summarize, and score public industry signals. Source links, timestamps, and methodology are provided wherever possible. AI does not create facts, and every published item is grounded in cited source material.

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Resolution receipt

Will MGPI (MGP Ingredients) finish Monday May 4, 2026 above Friday's close of $19.40?

NO
M&AResolved May 5, 2026by auto-resolver
Summary

Robinhood explicitly states May 4 close at $19.40, equal to prior Friday's $19.40, resolving NO per criteria. Official IR site shows intraday last at $18.90 (post-1PM ET), consistent with <= $19.40 close; lacks Yahoo Finance but strongest available primary evidence.

Evidence
01
MGPI closes at $19.40 on May 4, 2026
Robinhood
url
On 2026-05-04, MGP Ingredients(MGPI) stock traded between a low of $19.18 and a high of $20.34. Shares are currently priced at $19.40.
https://robinhood.com/us/en/stocks/MGPI/
Captured May 4, 2026
02
MGPI official quote shows $18.90 last on May 4
MGP Ingredients IR
url
Today. May 4, 2026 1:23 PM EDT. Last. 18.90. Open. 19.40. Prev. (implied prior close).
https://ir.mgpingredients.com/stock-data/quote
Captured May 4, 2026
03
Current price $19.40 matches Friday close
Robinhood
url
The current MGP Ingredients(MGPI) stock price is $19.40... Shares are currently priced at $19.40, which is +1.1% above the low and -4.6% below the high.
https://robinhood.com/us/en/stocks/MGPI/
Captured May 5, 2026
04
Recent MGPI prices around $20 in late April
Financial Content
url
Apr 24, 2026, 20.19, 20.45 ; Apr 23, 2026, 20.03, 20.25 ; Apr 22, 2026, 19.83, 20.19.
https://markets.financialcontent.com/stocks/quote/historical?Symbol=537%3A14670184
Captured May 5, 2026
Confidence score
7/ 10

10 = primary source confirmed, no ambiguity. 7-9 = strong evidence, minor interpretation. Below 7 = material uncertainty; market should have been voided.

Resolution criteria

YES if MGPI official 4pm ET closing price on May 4, 2026 is strictly greater than $19.40. NO if equal to or less than $19.40. Source of truth: NASDAQ official close as published on Yahoo Finance.

Primary source

Yahoo Finance / NASDAQ closing price (May 4, 2026 4pm ET)

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