How do Liquor Bets markets resolve?
Each market has a named primary source declared at launch. When the resolution date hits, we resolve the outcome using that source plus a public evidence trail. Every resolved market is published on /resolutions with receipts.
Each Liquor Bets market has a named primary source declared at launch. When the resolution date arrives, we resolve the outcome using that source plus a public evidence trail. Every resolved market is published on the /resolutions page with the source, evidence items, and a confidence score. This is intentional. Public receipts are how a free prediction market builds trust. If a market cannot be resolved cleanly because the underlying event was canceled, postponed, or otherwise rendered ambiguous, we void the market and no Brier score is recorded. Voided markets do not count against your monthly leaderboard score. Markets close 24 hours before their resolution date.